El Estado de Chávez
10/01/2013 2 comentarios
La enfermedad de Hugo Chávez se ha convertido en un esperpento político. Lo demuestra el hecho que el Tribunal Supremo haya avalado ayer “continuidad administrativa” que dispensa al presidente reelecto de la investidura, hoy, ante la Asamblea Nacional. De forma escandalosa, había aprobado en la víspera que el mandatario, reelegido para un tercer periodo, 2013 a 1019, se tome “todo el tiempo que necesite”, para recuperarse y regresar a su país. Esconder información sobre situación médica de Chávez constituye una afrenta democrática, especialmente en estos tiempos de la comunicación en red. Todos los venezolanos tienen derecho a saber. La opacidad es una tomadura de pelo a ciudadanos, sean o no chavistas. Este silencio se ha urdido hace tiempo, quizás para gestionarlo con más eficacia, Chávez decidió operarse por cuarta vez de un cáncer de naturaleza no desvelada en Cuba, lo que, además, constituye el reconocimiento de otro fracaso, medicina venezolana, y ratifica las intenciones del castrismo de seguir influyendo en la suerte de Venezuela (beneficiándose de su petróleo). Es difícil precisar, con la información disponible, si Venezuela está ante la previsión constitucional de una “falta absoluta” de su presidente, lo que obligaría a convocar en 30 días unas elecciones que ni chavistas ni oposición, temerosa de un nuevo revolcón tras sus recientes derrotas, desean. O si se trata de “falta temporal” que daría un respiro de hasta 180 días. De hecho, Sala Constitucional del Supremo, que nunca ha fallado en contra del Gobierno, se ha situado en una tercera opción: el de que “aquí no pasa nada”. No puede sorprender; el chavismo limpió muy recientemente el Supremo de los pocos independientes que le quedaban y controla todos los resortes de un poder del Estado que desconoce la división de Montesquieu. El chavismo domina plenamente el Estado a través del petróleo, Fuerzas Armadas y el Supremo. Y el Estado tapa el estado del presidente reelecto. El país no dispone de “todo el tiempo”. Enfermedad presidencial está aplazando muchas decisiones capitales, como devaluación de la moneda, para la recuperación de economía desastrosamente gestionada por el régimen. En todo caso, nadie debe estar interesado en estos momentos en tensar la situación ni en llevar a Venezuela al caos. Es necesaria la serenidad. (Fuente: Editorial – El Pais.com – 10/01/2013)
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(…..) In the event that he dies or becomes too incapacitated to recover, Chavez has said that Vice President Nicolas Maduro, a confidant of the president and a former union leader, should be the successor. Maduro is considered an ideologue close to Cuba’s Communist leadership and in lock step with Chavez’s long-standing policy of distancing Venezuela from the United States, which had been a close ally until his presidency began in 1999. As foreign minister, a position he still holds, Maduro has led Chavez’s campaign to forge closer ties with U.S. adversaries such as Iran. But Maduro is also seen as a negotiator, and the Americans have begun their exploratory talks in part by seeking him out, said a senior U.S. official, who spoke on the condition of anonymity because of the delicate nature of the talks with Venezuela. In November, Roberta S. Jacobson, the assistant secretary of state for Western Hemisphere affairs, spoke by phone with Maduro, the senior official said. There also have been meetings in Washington between Kevin Whitaker, a deputy assistant secretary of state, and Roy Chaderton, the Venezuelan ambassador to the Organization of American States, which is based in the city. “I would characterize it as a handful of conversations that have taken place,” the U.S. official said. The Obama administration, the official added, has in recent weeks “had more echo and better luck” engaging Venezuela than in the past seven years, when the relationship started to splinter badly. The official, as well as people who have worked with Maduro in Caracas on foreign-policy issues, cautioned that the talks are designed to simply find a channel of communication. “We want to start small and go from that, diplomacy 101,” the official said. The idea is to then go on to broader talks on issues important to the United States, including oil, drug trafficking and terrorism, and, principally, Venezuela’s ties with the Iranian government — which Washington is working to isolate. At this stage, with Venezuela convulsed by a constitutional crisis, the talks are delicate. Last week, Maduro publicly stressed that the contacts with the Americans were not designed to jump-start relations should Chavez die. Maduro said the president had, in fact, authorized the conversations. “We stressed the need for respect for the revolutionary and democratic process in Venezuela,” he told state television. The U.S. official said the talks began because diplomats and the White House thought the moment was apt, with President Obama and Chavez having been reelected in the fall. “We were looking at four years, at least, going forward,” the official said. But moving forward will not be easy. “I don’t think there are great illusions about having some partnerships or of any quick and dramatic change in the relationship,” said Michael Shifter, a policy analyst in Washington (…..)
http://www.washingtonpost.com/world/in-chavezs-absence-us-works-to-open-communication-with-venezuela/2013/01/09/4dd384ca-5a7e-11e2-9fa9-5fbdc9530eb9_story.html
(…..) Roger Noriega, who oversaw the George W. Bush administration’s policies in Latin America from 2003 to 2005, said the U.S. diplomatic initiatives could legitimize Maduro. Noriega said that if Chavez dies, there would be a power struggle between Maduro and the head of the National Assembly, Diosdado Cabello, who is allied with the military and is a power broker among the nouveau riche who benefited from the government’s free-spending ways. Noriega said the United States should wait until the dust settles. “This is an heir to a guy who’s been unrelentingly hostile to the United States and really doing his bidding,” Noriega said of Maduro. “Did they see that this is a very convoluted, complicated succession, a power struggle within Chavismo, and they’re meeting with one of the protagonists in this power struggle?” (…..)
http://www.washingtonpost.com/world/in-chavezs-absence-us-works-to-open-communication-with-venezuela/2013/01/09/4dd384ca-5a7e-11e2-9fa9-5fbdc9530eb9_story.html